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Weekly Market Update – December 26, 2023

Price Return Last Week

S&P 500 +0.8% S&P Mid Cap +1.5% Russell 2000 +2.5%

MSCI EAFE +0.8% MSCI EM -0.9%

10 Yr US Treasury Rate – fell from 3.93% to 3.91%

Source: Refinitiv Eikon

 

Economic Data

S&P 500 Winning Streak – The S&P 500 has posted gains for the last eight consecutive weeks.  The longest such winning streak in six years.

Source: The Wall Street Journal


PCE Index – November: -0.1% (Reuters Poll est. 0.0%) October: 0.0%

For the first time since April 2020, the PCE price index fell from the previous month.  The Core PCE price index still posted a positive change at 0.1% compared to the previous month.  On a year-over-year basis, Core PCE rose 3.2% but increased at a rate of just 1.9% when annualizing the last six months.  Following the report, estimates of an interest rate cut by the Fed at the next meeting increased to 14%.

Source: Refinitiv Eikon, The Wall Street Journal


Mortgage Rates – The 30-year mortgage rate fell below 7% for the first time since August.

Source: MarketWatch


Housing Starts – November: 1.56M (Reuters Poll est. 1.36M) October: 1.36M

Total housing starts surged 19% from the previous month.  The tenth largest quantity increased in one month in the last twenty years.

Source: Refinitiv Eikon


It’s a Wonderful Copyright – While It’s a Wonderful Life is now well established as a classic holiday film, it was a box office flop upon release in 1946 and didn’t gain recognition until the 1970’s when, due to a mistake in copyright protection, the film entered the public domain for all television networks to air it without paying royalties.  Later, NBC figured out a way to acquire the rights and prevent other stations from airing.  Director, Frank Capra, and actor, Jimmy Stewart, both claimed the film was their favorite film they ever worked on.

Source: Chicago Tribune, Library of Congress

 

Upcoming Events

12/28 – Initial Jobless Claims

Source: Refinitiv Eikon


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